Market Update – October 24

The sell off in Treasuries abated in the later part of Monday as low prices attracted buyers. Stock markets are also looking somewhat more stable and most Chinese stock gauges improved after the country’s sovereign wealth fund bought exchange traded funds to boost prices. Stock futures are higher across Europe and the US, although the UK100 is struggling. Early data releases in Europe were far from stellar, with German consumer confidence falling again, Eurozone Composite PMI falling to a 35 month low and jobless claims rising in the UK. Bonds have continued to find buyers and the 10-year Treasury yield has corrected a further -5.0 bp to 4.80%, while the 10-year Bund yield is down -5.3 bp at 2.82%, after the 10-year JGB corrected -2.5 bp.

Forex Trading

  • USDIndex found some ground at 105.46, GBPUSD extended to 1.2287 well above PP and 1.22 lows. 
  • RBA Governor Michele Bullock: risks inflation would prove more stubborn than expected and that interest rates might have to rise further to bring it to heel.
  • Stocks: Chinese stock gauges improved after the country’s sovereign wealth fund bought exchange traded funds to boost prices. Stock futures are slightly higher across Europe and the US, although the UK100 is struggling. The US500 remains though below the 200-day moving average.
  • Oil & Gold face some near term selling pressure, as the subsequent drop in rates provide some support for Equities while the USDIndex slumped. The 5% yield level on the 10-year, the first time with that handle since 2007, helped stop the bleeding in the bond market.

Michele Bullock

Interesting Mover: BTCUSD 12% higher breaching April 2022 highs and 35K. Crypto linked stocks followed as well, as speculation about the possibility of a bitcoin ETF approval drove enthusiasm.

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Andria Pichidi

Market Analyst

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